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Pre-Campaign Forecast, Monday April 11

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Pre-Campaign Forecast, Monday April 11

Submitted by dhartsock on Mon, 04/11/2011 - 12:36
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A cold front moved through OK late last night, with thunderstorms and MCS forming over the SE part of the state. Only a few mid-low level clouds remained this morning over the CF. Clearing will be the story over the region the rest of today through Wednesday morning as ridging aloft progresses through. The next chance for rain and thunderstorms will be Wednesday night into Thursday morning, albeit remaining low over north-central OK. The rest of the week could be dominated by high pressure until possibly late weekend. 

Forecasts
 
Time of Day: 
Morning
Day 0: 
04/11/2011
Forecast for Day 0: 

A few passing clouds (700mb/3km) over north-central OK this morning behind a cold front that swept through late last night. The skies will continue to clear under NW flow aloft. A few cumulus may possibly develop over the site ~ 4 pm (according to forecast soundings).  

Day 1: 
04/12/2011
Forecast for Day 1: 

The upper-level ridge will progress through the region, with zonal flow aloft by late afternoon. Cirrus clouds will be likely (broken-scattered) Tuesday evening. 

Day 2: 
04/13/2011
Forecast for Day 2: 

A series of short amplitude upper waves are forecasted to move over New Mexico eastward into the panhandle. Increasing clouds will be likely Wednesday afternoon, but precipitation chances remain low Wed night over OK. A surface front will begin to move down through Kansas. The best chance for precipitation in our region looks to be Thursday morning into early afternoon. 

Extended Outlook: 

High pressure may build in behind the next frontal passage Thursday, with low chances of precipitation possibly later in the weekend.

Bufkit Overview


  1. MC3E Weather Briefing 20110411.pptx

 

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